What is the Future of Suburbia?

A few weeks ago I posted the cost-of-services economic analysis done in Rhode Island. It related the nine-fold increase in the State’s budget since 1950 to the ‘cost of suburbanization’.

From an infrastructure perspective, the suburb and the suburban subdivision are socially expensive. They have also used environmental services randomly and, until recently, without much ‘ecosystem service’ planning. Current energy costs put these already strained techo-social systems in more financial stress.

The New York Times did a forum addressing the ‘future of suburbia’. I recommend it…to start thinking of how ecosystem service perspectives can solve suburbia’s dilemma.

What is the Future of Suburbia?

The Limit of Property Tax Caps

Anthony Flint of the Lincoln Institute writes:

California has been a policy innovator on a lot of things — coastal management, clean air, vehicle fuel efficiency, and now the connection between land use and greenhouse gas emissions. But in public finance and the property tax, the Golden State is a cautionary tale. Thirty years ago this summer, Proposition 13 was passed, setting a maximum rate of property taxation at 1 percent, and limiting annual increases in assessed values at 2 percent. The measure followed the property tax “revolt” in California through the 1970s, when some homeowners saw annual increases of 30 percent or more.

But assessment limits are not a particularly good instrument for property tax relief. Assessment limits leave some homeowners paying more than others, even in identical homes, and encourage families not to move, even to be closer to a new job, for example, because market value is reset in the relocation process. “Severing the connection between property values and property taxes creates a new set of problems,” said Joan Youngman, senior fellow and chair of the Department of Valuation and Taxation (at the Lincoln Institute). More effective paths to property tax relief include circuit breakers targeted on ability to pay, more deferral and exemption options, and truth in taxation to combat so-called “invisible” tax increases that occur when property values rise but nominal tax rates stay the same.

For the Lincoln Institute Report abstract:

http://www.lincolninst.edu/pubs/PubDetail.aspx?pubid=1412

Globalization

I’ve watched with interest the various conversations, policies, and politics of globalization over the past few years. It is a vast concept…and suffers from great generalizations in the media and the political arena.

I’ve been a bit of a skeptic about much of the trade liberalization…at the same time I’ve read many well-respected economists riding the ‘globalization bandwagon.’ My concerns have been both systematic (how can we really manage the economic systems that arise?) as well as ethical (one person’s ‘good’ can be very different from another person’s ‘good’). I also see globalization often driven by the commercial desire to expand the sale of products and services I consider of little value (KFC, for example).

Today I read an article that discusses ‘globalization withdrawal’ by some of the economist that were the biggest cheerleaders:

http://www.business24-7.ae/articles/2008/7/pages/07132008_0e2fdaac2526432cad20a95916ed4bc4.aspx

It led me to research the author, Dani Rodrik, and find he does a very interesting blog:

http://rodrik.typepad.com/dani_rodriks_weblog/

I’ve always considered my skepticism was merely a lack of knowledge (‘too stupid to see the value’) and a bias toward local thinking. I find it hard to conceive of ‘global’…so how can we plan economies based upon concepts that are infinitely complex?

Mathematics and Policy

I noticed that John Phipps had posted today about the poor state of American math and science education. At the end of his post, he drew a parallel to ‘why mathematical evidence seems to carry very little weight in policy debates’.

I’m well aware of the problems with using scientific and mathematical evidence in policy debates, but never related it to a lack of education. My own experience is that there is a huge ‘barrier to entry’ in using science and math in policy discussions. Unless you are ‘preaching to the choir’… most of the decision-makers will have very little comparative experience with the evidence. No matter how relevant and accurate, it will have no meaning!